China

[mids]

Plane's crashed. I assume Mossad false flag to make it look like a stray Russian missile from a training exercise.

mol.im/a/10634901

[perrykneeham]

Poor old Boeing. If it wasn't for bad luck, they'd have no luck at all.

[flatandy]

A plane thousands of miles from Russia in the Southern interior? If you were actual Russians blowing up planes, or people creating anti-Russian false flags, you'd blow up a plane in a less remote and more Russia-proximate part of China.

Also, I don't feel too sorry for Boeing. They've sold something like 11,000 737s. The failure rate remains astonishingly low and Boeing have made a whole lot of money off them.

[voice]

Yeah why are so many flying in fear over a failure rate of less than 1%...

[perrykneeham]

1% is enough. What is it for Airbus kit?

[flatandy]

Roughly the same per-flight, across all the models. And late-era 737s and late-era equivalent Airbus (A319/320/321) also come out around the same.

www.airsafe.com/events/models/rate_mod.htm

[perrykneeham]

Quite impressive given that those are per million flights. It would be interesting to see the rate for DC9s.

[perrykneeham]

Also the skewing effect of a single fatal accident with Concorde.

Look at 757Max - that's what I meant by Boeing not catching a break - the model is less important than the optics.

[flatandy]

It's in the list. And less bad than you'd think. Even the DC10 isn't that terrible.

But the late era 737s are having one incident every 15 million flights. Not time to panic.